Students will be able to design and conduct their own simulation to determine the probability of an event.

Simulations - The key to predicting events.

10 minutes

**Opener: **As students enter the room, they will immediately pick up and begin working on the opener. Please see my instructional strategy clip for how openers work in my classroom (**Instructional Strategy - Process for openers**). This method of working and going over the opener lends itself to allow students to construct viable arguments and critique the reasoning of others, which is **mathematical practice 3**. See my video, **MP3**, for more!

**Learning Target: **After completion of the opener, I will address the day’s learning targets to the students. In today’s lesson, the intended target is, “I can design and carry out a simulation to model an experiment.” Students will jot the learning target down in their agendas (our version of a student planner, there is a place to write the learning target for every day).

40 minutes

Simulations Explore Narrative This activity allows students to model mathematics by creating their own simuation for real world event (**MP 4**). Students will use various tools (spinners, coins, random numbers) to help them design experiments and draw conclusions (**MP 5**).

10 minutes

**Design Your Own: **To gauge student understanding of simulations, I am going to have tables design their own simulation for a family have 2 boys and 2 girls. I will walk around and have each table share their ideas with me.

**Homework:** As I have each group discuss their simulations with me, I will hand out homework and have students begin working on it. Philosophy on Homework