Probability Test

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Objective

Students will be able to demonstrate their abilities to calculate probability.

Big Idea

See the fruits of your labor! Students will demonstrate their abilities to determine if a sample is biased or unbiased and make predictions.

Lesson Author

Heather Stephan

Elon, NC

Grade Level

Seventh grade

Subjects

Math

Probability (Math / Data Analysis)

Statistics

Standards

7.SP.C.5

Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.

7.SP.C.6

Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability. For example, when rolling a number cube 600 times, predict that a 3 or 6 would be rolled roughly 200 times, but probably not exactly 200 times.

7.SP.C.8

Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.

MP2

Reason abstractly and quantitatively.

MP4

Model with mathematics.

MP6

Attend to precision.

Launch

10 minutes

Explore

45 minutes

Next Year...

Probability Test: Today students will take the Probability Test, utilizing Mastery Connect. As with any test, students will have to persevere with the problems to come up with a solution (MP 1). Some problems will require students to reason abstractly (MP 2), while others will require students to model probability (MP 4). It's a test, so precision is important! (MP 6)

Summarize

2 minutes

Prep for End of Year Review: As a summary to this lesson, I am asking that kids make me a list of topics they feel like they need to review from the year. I have a vocabulary wall in the back of my room that contains not just vocabulary terms, learning targets as well – so I am going to ask students to look over that board and give me feedback on what they feel like they need to review before our upcoming state exam.

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7th Grade Math » Probability